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Red445
333138.4
3044148.2
20165.9
Blue154
5149103.7
229138.7
4458141.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932470100200300500445154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
165.91.8
157.9159.7
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 24.8
4458
#19
141.10.2
137.0136.8
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
Second
148.20.9
144.5145.4
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End15.9
red by 9.5
229
#18
138.70.7
143.4142.7
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
Third
333
#9
138.41.5
133.3134.8
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
red by 34.7
5149
#34
103.70.2
106.1106.3
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed