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Qual 502018 New York Tech Valley Regional
Red241
1156155.7
5881121.2
7031108.3
Blue293
2013137.3
3996147.2
4508151.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308324150200250350400450241293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#14
155.72.4
148.6→151.0
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
red by 4.3
4508
#16
151.34.2
132.5→136.7
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
Second
5881
#31
121.22.7
115.2→117.8
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
blue by 26.0
3996
#8
147.20.3
140.3→140.6
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
Third
7031
#29
108.31.9
106.1→108.0
Auto15.1
Teleop78.6
End16.3
blue by 29.0
2013
#15
137.30.6
131.2→131.8
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed