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Red374
4508151.3
5123118.6
250133.1
Blue112
6463121.3
7031108.3
5202111.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330262100200300400500374112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4508
#16
151.33.3
136.7140.0
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
red by 30.0
6463
#25
121.30.1
122.6122.4
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Second
250
#27
133.11.8
134.4132.5
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
red by 21.9
5202
#30
111.21.5
115.5114.0
Auto15.5
Teleop80.9
End14.9
Third
5123
#20
118.60.9
111.0111.8
Auto17.7
Teleop92.5
End9.9
red by 10.2
7031
#29
108.30.8
108.0108.9
Auto15.1
Teleop78.6
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed