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Red130
3624124.6
6300124.4
420399.7
Blue359
4458141.1
6484137.4
5943109.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833230100200400500600700130359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3624
#22
124.61.5
122.3123.8
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
blue by 16.6
4458
#19
141.11.6
136.8135.2
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
Second
6300
#10
124.41.8
119.3121.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
blue by 13.0
6484
#13
137.42.6
131.3133.8
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
Third
4203
#35
99.70.8
100.1100.9
Auto16.0
Teleop72.8
End12.9
blue by 9.4
5943
#26
109.21.3
101.8103.0
Auto15.7
Teleop78.4
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed