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Red304
3360164.7
333138.4
1665116.6
Blue266
5659136.1
5881121.2
7030109.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351263100200300400500304266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#11DQ
164.70.7
163.2163.9
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
red by 28.6
5659
#28
136.13.1
131.0134.1
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End17.9
Second
333
#9
138.41.4
134.8136.2
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
red by 17.2
5881
#31
121.21.3
117.8119.1
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Third
1665
#24
116.60.1
116.9116.7
Auto17.6
Teleop77.4
End22.1
red by 7.4
7030
#23
109.12.6
116.1113.5
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed