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Red244
3044148.2
5964118.8
1156155.7
Blue437
1493159.9
358134.8
2791204.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265403100200300500600244437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#14
155.71.1
151.0152.2
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
blue by 48.4
204.13.4
189.4192.8
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
Second
148.20.9
145.4146.3
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End15.9
blue by 11.7
159.92.9
146.2149.1
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
Third
5964
#21
118.81.2
114.0115.2
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3
blue by 16.0
358
#17
134.80.9
135.7134.8
Auto19.0
Teleop101.1
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsEarned