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Qual 592018 New York Tech Valley Regional
Red264
229138.7
5881121.2
3360164.7
Blue422
1860143.0
6300124.4
3990199.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287373100200400500600264422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#11DQ
164.70.4
163.9→164.3
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
blue by 35.2
3990
#3
199.91.8
192.2→194.0
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
Second
229
#18
138.71.9
142.7→140.8
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
blue by 4.3
1860
#12
143.00.3
139.5→139.8
Auto18.0
Teleop102.5
End25.0
Third
5881
#31
121.21.1
119.1→120.2
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
blue by 3.2
6300
#10
124.40.6
121.1→121.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed