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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Central New York Regional
Red403
340170.8
2791165.4
5030124.5
Blue149
250133.5
6422138.7
5484131.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394269100200300500600700403149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.80.4
168.7→169.1
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 32.1
6422
#12
138.70.2
139.0→138.7
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
Second
2791
#1
165.40.6
162.7→163.3
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
red by 31.9
250
#23
133.50.3
133.1→133.5
Auto18.4
Teleop100.7
End18.2
Third
5030
#34
124.50.3
123.2→123.5
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
blue by 7.4
5484
#25
131.90.1
131.8→131.9
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End9.3