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Red746
340170.8
2791165.4
5030124.5
Blue270
639158.6
3003142.8
2016138.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367303100200400500600700746270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.80.4
169.5169.9
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 12.2
639
#20
158.60.0
158.6158.6
Auto19.2
Teleop116.3
End22.5
Second
165.40.5
163.8164.3
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
red by 22.6
142.80.0
142.8142.8
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
Third
5030
#34
124.50.3
123.9124.2
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
blue by 13.8
2016
#22
138.30.0
138.4138.3
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1