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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Central New York Regional
Red327
639158.6
3003142.8
2016138.3
Blue261
27153.4
3044137.6
287147.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320341100200400500600700327261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#20
158.60.0
158.5→158.5
Auto19.2
Teleop116.3
End22.5
red by 5.2
27
#16
153.40.4
152.9→153.4
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
Second
3003
#6
142.80.0
142.7→142.7
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
blue by 4.6
287
#19
147.50.1
147.3→147.5
Auto16.2
Teleop112.1
End18.6
Third
2016
#22
138.30.1
138.5→138.4
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
red by 0.8
3044
#8
137.60.2
137.3→137.6
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8