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Red259
694165.0
4253164.9
810129.1
Blue383
319165.5
5254167.2
358125.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337364100200300400500600259383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#5
165.00.1
164.8165.0
Auto25.5
Teleop112.4
End27.6
blue by 2.3
167.20.6
165.4166.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
Second
164.90.2
164.7164.9
Auto26.2
Teleop121.3
End19.1
blue by 0.6
319
#7
165.50.5
164.2164.7
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
Third
810
#17
129.10.5
128.5129.1
Auto17.1
Teleop94.3
End20.5
red by 3.5
358
#30
125.60.2
125.0125.2
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3