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Red431
319165.5
5254167.2
358125.6
Blue321
20154.6
145143.0
378137.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377290100200500600431321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.20.7
163.4164.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
red by 12.6
20
#11
154.60.3
155.2154.9
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
Second
319
#7
165.50.4
162.9163.3
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
red by 22.5
145
#9
143.00.1
142.9142.9
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
Third
358
#30
125.60.1
124.5124.6
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
blue by 11.6
378
#18
137.20.1
137.3137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2