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Red409
319165.5
5254167.2
358125.6
Blue292
20154.6
145143.0
378137.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383290100200500600700409292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.20.7
164.1164.8
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
red by 12.6
20
#11
154.60.3
154.9154.6
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
Second
319
#7
165.50.5
163.3163.8
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
red by 22.5
145
#9
143.00.1
142.9143.0
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
Third
358
#30
125.60.2
124.6124.8
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
blue by 11.6
378
#18
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2