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Red186
6621119.0
6300116.2
250133.5
Blue404
2791165.4
20154.6
358125.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563170100200400500600186404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#23
133.52.7
120.9123.5
Auto18.4
Teleop100.7
End18.2
blue by 31.9
165.46.0
117.2123.2
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
Second
6621
#32
119.07.8
87.995.6
Auto16.3
Teleop85.0
End17.1
blue by 35.6
20
#11
154.64.2
131.3135.5
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
Third
6300
#33
116.22.8
120.9123.7
Auto14.7
Teleop91.1
End9.0
blue by 9.4
358
#30
125.63.7
106.0109.7
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed