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Red300
319165.5
694165.0
1665121.7
Blue296
527148.2
639158.6
4027126.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314315280300320340360300296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#7
165.51.5
145.7144.2
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
red by 6.9
639
#20
158.68.7
127.9136.6
Auto19.2
Teleop116.3
End22.5
Second
694
#5
165.08.4
132.2140.6
Auto25.5
Teleop112.4
End27.6
red by 16.8
527
#10
148.26.9
119.5126.4
Auto17.7
Teleop108.7
End21.7
Third
1665
#15
121.75.1
107.4112.4
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
blue by 5.0
4027
#14
126.66.3
105.1111.5
Auto21.3
Teleop93.6
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed