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Red370
378137.2
694165.0
2791165.4
Blue167
2016138.3
250133.5
3044137.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301303200250350400370167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.414.0
93.3107.2
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
red by 27.1
2016
#22
138.313.7
95.5109.2
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
Second
694
#5
165.013.1
100.9114.1
Auto25.5
Teleop112.4
End27.6
red by 27.4
137.614.8
85.5100.3
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
Third
378
#18
137.215.3
80.896.1
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
red by 3.7
250
#23
133.513.7
95.2109.0
Auto18.4
Teleop100.7
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed