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Qual 32018 Central New York Regional
Red223
810129.1
6621119.0
223137.4
Blue493
319165.5
3173115.1
1518136.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613100100200400500223493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#26
137.414.9
84.4→99.3
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
blue by 28.1
319
#7
165.53.5
134.6→138.1
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
Second
810
#17
129.115.4
80.1→95.4
Auto17.1
Teleop94.3
End20.5
blue by 7.3
1518
#21
136.315.6
77.8→93.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End21.3
Third
6621
#32
119.017.7
59.1→76.8
Auto16.3
Teleop85.0
End17.1
red by 3.8
3173
#29
115.115.6
78.5→94.0
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed