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Qual 42018 Central New York Regional
Red293
5484131.9
7081120.0
340170.8
Blue267
27153.4
5254167.2
5030124.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723410100200400500600293267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.812.5
107.5→119.9
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 3.6
5254
#4
167.212.2
110.0→122.2
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
Second
5484
#25
131.914.1
92.2→106.3
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End9.3
blue by 21.5
27
#16
153.411.7
114.8→126.5
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
Third
7081
#13
120.044.7
122.4→77.7
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
blue by 4.5
5030
#34
124.514.4
89.4→103.8
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed