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Qual 52018 Central New York Regional
Red344
3003142.8
4253164.9
6422138.7
Blue108
4027126.6
1665121.7
358125.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082720100200400500600344108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#2
164.913.1
101.5→114.6
Auto26.2
Teleop121.3
End19.1
red by 38.3
4027
#14
126.615.9
75.6→91.5
Auto21.3
Teleop93.6
End11.2
Second
3003
#6
142.814.4
88.9→103.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
red by 17.3
358
#30
125.615.5
78.8→94.3
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
Third
6422
#12
138.716.4
71.0→87.4
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
red by 17.1
1665
#15
121.715.4
79.9→95.3
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed