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Red355
3173115.1
378137.2
340170.8
Blue254
287147.5
6422138.7
5484131.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304281100150200250350400450500355254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.85.6
134.5140.1
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 23.3
287
#19
147.51.9
126.4128.3
Auto16.2
Teleop112.1
End18.6
Second
378
#18
137.27.8
115.9123.8
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
blue by 1.5
6422
#12
138.76.8
111.0117.8
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
Third
3173
#29
115.10.7
111.9112.6
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
blue by 16.8
5484
#25
131.91.4
123.2124.7
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed