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Qual 222018 Central New York Regional
Red334
191130.5
3044137.6
4253164.9
Blue194
5254167.2
3003142.8
2016138.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093450100200400500600700334194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#2
164.93.8
133.1→136.9
Auto26.2
Teleop121.3
End19.1
blue by 2.3
5254
#4
167.25.9
135.1→141.0
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
Second
3044
#8
137.66.5
116.7→123.1
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
blue by 5.3
3003
#6
142.88.6
124.6→133.2
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
Third
191
#24
130.53.3
128.4→131.6
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End16.0
blue by 7.8
2016
#22
138.36.0
124.1→130.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed