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Qual 232018 Central New York Regional
Red438
145143.0
514129.4
223137.4
Blue295
4122127.1
5030124.5
6621119.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302630100200300400500600438295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#9
143.07.2
113.5→120.7
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
red by 15.8
4122
#27
127.13.0
117.3→120.3
Auto18.0
Teleop90.5
End21.0
Second
223
#26
137.43.2
114.5→117.6
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
red by 12.8
5030
#34
124.51.9
116.9→118.8
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
Third
514
#28
129.45.7
107.7→113.4
Auto17.5
Teleop95.0
End16.8
red by 10.4
6621
#32
119.05.2
95.6→100.8
Auto16.3
Teleop85.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed