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Red433
319165.5
2791165.4
7081120.0
Blue290
191130.5
27153.4
378137.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693340100200400500600700800433290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#7
165.51.0
144.2145.2
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
red by 12.1
27
#16
153.41.8
136.1137.9
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
Second
165.46.0
123.2129.2
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
red by 28.2
378
#18
137.26.8
123.8130.5
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
Third
7081
#13
120.04.7
106.6111.3
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
blue by 10.5
191
#24
130.53.4
131.6135.0
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed