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Red309
20154.6
694165.0
5484131.9
Blue323
2791165.4
3003142.8
223137.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3103240100200400500600700309323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#5
165.05.0
148.2153.3
Auto25.5
Teleop112.4
End27.6
blue by 0.4
165.46.5
137.4143.8
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
Second
20
#11
154.64.8
135.5140.3
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
red by 11.7
142.80.2
136.7136.5
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
Third
5484
#25
131.91.7
125.9124.2
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End9.3
blue by 5.5
223
#26
137.44.4
121.8126.3
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed