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Red177
2053116.5
1518136.3
1665121.7
Blue262
145143.0
3173115.1
7081120.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306308200250350400177262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1518
#21
136.34.0
130.4134.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End21.3
blue by 6.7
145
#9
143.06.2
127.6133.8
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
Second
1665
#15
121.72.9
118.0120.9
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
red by 1.7
7081
#13
120.07.3
111.3118.5
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
Third
2053
#35
116.52.6
117.1119.7
Auto17.8
Teleop87.9
End10.9
red by 1.3
3173
#29
115.11.0
114.6115.6
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed