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Qual 382018 Central New York Regional
Red283
6621119.0
319165.5
1450118.1
Blue295
2791165.4
27153.4
1665121.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261362100200300400500600283295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#7
165.52.1
149.2→151.4
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
red by 0.1
2791
#1
165.45.2
143.8→149.0
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
Second
6621
#32
119.01.7
109.2→110.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.0
End17.1
blue by 34.4
27
#16
153.40.9
141.3→142.2
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
Third
1450
#31
118.12.9
107.4→110.3
Auto19.6
Teleop89.7
End10.6
blue by 3.5
1665
#15
121.71.2
120.9→119.8
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed