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Red300
2016138.3
20154.6
2053116.5
Blue301
1518136.3
287147.5
358125.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342790100200400500600300301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#11
154.64.3
144.0148.3
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
red by 7.1
287
#19
147.52.5
130.9133.4
Auto16.2
Teleop112.1
End18.6
Second
2016
#22
138.33.0
132.5135.4
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
red by 2.0
1518
#21
136.30.5
134.4133.9
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End21.3
Third
2053
#35
116.51.4
119.7118.2
Auto17.8
Teleop87.9
End10.9
blue by 9.1
358
#30
125.60.9
116.6117.5
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed