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Qual 402018 Central New York Regional
Red388
378137.2
250133.5
3003142.8
Blue284
5030124.5
3044137.6
6300116.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346268100200300400500600388284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#6
142.80.7
136.5→137.2
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
red by 5.3
3044
#8
137.60.8
131.8→132.5
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
Second
378
#18
137.22.9
134.7→137.6
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
red by 12.7
5030
#34
124.51.0
121.6→122.6
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
Third
250
#23
133.51.2
127.9→129.1
Auto18.4
Teleop100.7
End18.2
red by 17.3
6300
#33
116.21.5
126.4→124.9
Auto14.7
Teleop91.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed