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Red120
191130.5
7081120.0
2016138.3
Blue396
6422138.7
340170.8
514129.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314331150200250350400450500120396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#22
138.32.4
135.4137.8
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
blue by 32.5
340
#3
170.83.2
150.0153.2
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
Second
191
#24
130.51.4
137.0138.3
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End16.0
blue by 8.2
6422
#12
138.74.8
125.2130.0
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
Third
7081
#13
120.04.4
118.5123.0
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
blue by 9.4
514
#28
129.41.4
122.3123.8
Auto17.5
Teleop95.0
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed