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Red253
5030124.5
145143.0
639158.6
Blue314
5254167.2
2791165.4
3173115.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183520100200400500600700253314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#20
158.64.2
152.7156.9
Auto19.2
Teleop116.3
End22.5
blue by 8.6
167.24.6
150.4155.0
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
Second
145
#9
143.03.5
137.6141.0
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
blue by 22.4
165.43.5
149.0152.5
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
Third
5030
#34
124.50.9
122.6123.5
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
red by 9.4
3173
#29
115.10.8
115.8115.0
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed