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Red222
1450118.1
7081120.0
3044137.6
Blue443
319165.5
358125.6
4253164.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413910100200300500600222443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.60.7
132.5133.3
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
blue by 27.9
319
#7
165.51.9
151.4153.3
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
Second
7081
#13
120.00.2
123.0123.1
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
blue by 44.9
164.94.0
149.3153.3
Auto26.2
Teleop121.3
End19.1
Third
1450
#31
118.12.6
110.3112.8
Auto19.6
Teleop89.7
End10.6
blue by 7.4
358
#30
125.61.0
117.5118.5
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed