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Red331
223137.4
340170.8
250133.5
Blue356
1665121.7
810129.1
287147.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372249100200300400500600331356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.84.4
153.2157.6
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 23.3
287
#19
147.52.0
133.4135.5
Auto16.2
Teleop112.1
End18.6
Second
223
#26
137.43.1
130.1133.2
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
red by 8.3
810
#17
129.10.7
117.4118.1
Auto17.1
Teleop94.3
End20.5
Third
250
#23
133.51.3
129.1130.4
Auto18.4
Teleop100.7
End18.2
red by 11.8
1665
#15
121.70.2
119.8119.5
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed