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Red160
6422138.7
4122127.1
6300116.2
Blue351
20154.6
191130.5
5030124.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296329100200400500600160351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6422
#12
138.75.4
130.0135.4
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
blue by 15.8
20
#11
154.63.2
148.3151.5
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
Second
4122
#27
127.11.9
124.8126.7
Auto18.0
Teleop90.5
End21.0
blue by 3.4
191
#24
130.51.7
138.3136.7
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End16.0
Third
6300
#33
116.23.2
124.2121.0
Auto14.7
Teleop91.1
End9.0
blue by 8.4
5030
#34
124.50.4
123.5123.1
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed