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Red344
358125.6
5484131.9
527148.2
Blue237
7081120.0
6621119.0
639158.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318333250300350400450344237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#10
148.21.5
139.5141.0
Auto17.7
Teleop108.7
End21.7
blue by 10.4
639
#20
158.61.7
156.9158.6
Auto19.2
Teleop116.3
End22.5
Second
5484
#25
131.92.0
124.0126.0
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End9.3
red by 11.9
7081
#13
120.00.2
123.1123.3
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
Third
358
#30
125.62.2
118.5120.7
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
red by 6.6
6621
#32
119.03.1
112.8115.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed