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Red263
514129.4
810129.1
27153.4
Blue315
1665121.7
20154.6
3044137.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313335100200400500600263315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#16
153.42.5
143.1145.6
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
blue by 1.2
20
#11
154.62.3
151.5153.8
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
Second
514
#28
129.42.0
126.9128.9
Auto17.5
Teleop95.0
End16.8
blue by 8.2
137.60.5
133.3133.8
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
Third
810
#17
129.12.8
118.1120.8
Auto17.1
Teleop94.3
End20.5
red by 7.4
1665
#15
121.72.2
119.5121.7
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed