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Red210
3003142.8
4027126.6
7081120.0
Blue422
2791165.4
6621119.0
2016138.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2983380100200400500600210422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.82.8
138.2141.0
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
blue by 22.6
165.42.6
152.5155.1
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
Second
4027
#14
126.61.0
126.2125.1
Auto21.3
Teleop93.6
End11.2
blue by 11.7
2016
#22
138.30.0
137.3137.2
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
Third
7081
#13
120.01.0
123.3122.3
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
red by 1.0
6621
#32
119.01.0
115.9116.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed