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Red338
340170.8
6300116.2
810129.1
Blue280
145143.0
5484131.9
1450118.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292900100200400500600338280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.82.3
161.3163.6
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 27.8
145
#9
143.00.2
142.3142.1
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
Second
810
#17
129.11.8
120.8122.6
Auto17.1
Teleop94.3
End20.5
blue by 2.8
5484
#25
131.92.0
126.0128.0
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End9.3
Third
6300
#33
116.23.2
121.0117.8
Auto14.7
Teleop91.1
End9.0
blue by 2.0
1450
#31
118.11.5
114.5116.1
Auto19.6
Teleop89.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed