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Red390
27153.4
527148.2
3173115.1
Blue221
358125.6
223137.4
378137.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322321200250300350400450390221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#16
153.41.6
145.6147.2
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
red by 16.0
223
#26
137.41.7
136.0137.7
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
Second
527
#10
148.21.7
141.0142.7
Auto17.7
Teleop108.7
End21.7
red by 11.0
378
#18
137.20.4
138.7138.3
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
Third
3173
#29
115.10.2
114.9114.7
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
blue by 10.4
358
#30
125.62.1
120.7122.8
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed