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Red239
6300116.2
358125.6
639158.6
Blue348
3003142.8
3044137.6
27153.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274363100200400500600239348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#20
158.60.2
158.4158.5
Auto19.2
Teleop116.3
End22.5
red by 5.2
27
#16
153.42.5
149.9152.3
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
Second
358
#30
125.60.7
123.8124.5
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
blue by 17.3
142.80.0
142.7142.7
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
Third
6300
#33
116.20.1
116.3116.2
Auto14.7
Teleop91.1
End9.0
blue by 21.4
137.61.5
135.4136.9
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed