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Red325
20154.6
340170.8
145143.0
Blue214
1665121.7
4253164.9
378137.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383280100200500600325214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.82.3
165.9168.2
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 5.9
164.91.8
161.8163.6
Auto26.2
Teleop121.3
End19.1
Second
20
#11
154.61.2
156.4155.2
Auto21.5
Teleop113.6
End20.2
red by 17.4
378
#18
137.20.3
137.6137.3
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
Third
145
#9
143.00.4
142.4142.9
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
red by 21.3
1665
#15
121.71.4
123.0121.7
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned