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Red332
3314181.4
4145181.6
5030159.0
Blue244
291180.8
379195.4
4121131.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373378250300350400450332244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.60.2
181.4181.6
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
blue by 13.8
379
#2
195.40.3
195.1195.4
Auto25.4
Teleop137.9
End32.6
Second
181.40.2
181.2181.4
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
red by 0.6
291
#12
180.80.2
180.9180.8
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
Third
5030
#13
159.00.5
158.5159.0
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
red by 28.0
4121
#16
131.10.8
130.3131.1
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3