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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Buckeye Regional
Red316
2614192.7
4150144.1
2399135.9
Blue298
1317142.8
1014157.7
6027144.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3573490100200300400500600700316298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#10
192.70.3
191.8192.0
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
red by 35.0
1014
#11
157.70.3
157.1157.4
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
Second
144.10.6
141.8142.5
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
blue by 0.6
6027
#19
144.70.1
144.6144.6
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
Third
2399
#36
135.90.3
135.0135.3
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
blue by 7.0
1317
#18
142.80.5
141.9142.4
Auto16.4
Teleop106.0
End23.6