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Red345
2614192.7
4150144.1
2399135.9
Blue371
3314181.4
4145181.6
5030159.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321427200400500600345371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#10
192.70.2
192.5192.7
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
red by 11.1
181.60.1
181.0181.1
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
Second
144.10.5
143.6144.1
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
blue by 37.3
181.40.1
180.8180.9
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
Third
2399
#36
135.90.2
135.7135.9
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
blue by 23.2
5030
#13
159.00.5
157.0157.5
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2