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Quarterfinal 2-32018 Buckeye Regional
Red392
3314181.4
4145181.6
5030159.0
Blue386
120161.7
2783141.5
4085143.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420306100200500600700392386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#4
181.60.1
180.8→180.9
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
red by 19.9
120
#20
161.70.5
161.2→161.7
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End23.5
Second
3314
#6
181.40.1
180.6→180.7
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
red by 38.4
4085
#26
143.00.5
142.5→143.0
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
Third
5030
#13
159.00.5
155.9→156.5
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
red by 17.6
2783
#5
141.50.7
140.8→141.5
Auto16.5
Teleop110.8
End17.2