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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Buckeye Regional
Red459
291180.8
379195.4
6490132.2
Blue258
4020159.2
1507188.3
3266141.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419332100200500600700459258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#2
195.40.4
192.5→192.9
Auto25.4
Teleop137.9
End32.6
red by 7.1
1507
#8
188.30.2
187.9→188.1
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
Second
291
#12
180.80.2
181.5→181.3
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
red by 21.6
4020
#14
159.20.3
158.7→159.0
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
Third
6490
#29
132.20.4
129.5→130.0
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
blue by 9.4
3266
#21
141.60.3
141.1→141.4
Auto18.3
Teleop101.9
End20.9