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Red454
1507188.3
1014157.7
1592145.9
Blue406
291180.8
5418133.0
7165120.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3702880100200400500454406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.32.5
175.3177.8
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
red by 7.5
291
#12
180.82.1
169.2171.3
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
Second
1014
#11
157.71.9
146.8148.7
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
red by 24.7
5418
#47
133.015.7
77.292.9
Auto14.9
Teleop102.3
End18.5
Third
145.91.1
122.0123.1
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
red by 25.2
7165
#28
120.81.7
99.2100.9
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed