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Qual 22018 Buckeye Regional
Red170
1758130.9
2228118.9
4780112.6
Blue409
7043131.3
4145181.6
3814143.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264356100200300400500170409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#51
130.90.9
136.5→137.4
Auto16.3
Teleop100.8
End13.8
blue by 50.7
4145
#4
181.60.1
175.1→175.2
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
Second
2228
#43
118.90.7
126.2→126.9
Auto16.7
Teleop86.9
End19.3
blue by 25.0
3814
#30
143.91.5
132.7→134.2
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End15.2
Third
4780
#38
112.617.5
61.5→78.9
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
blue by 18.7
7043
#25
131.353.6
131.3→77.7
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed