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Red387
2614192.7
4601131.5
5973109.0
Blue244
120161.7
451126.6
6460123.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347294100200400500600387244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#10
192.70.6
182.9183.5
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
red by 31.0
120
#20
161.70.0
151.8151.8
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End23.5
Second
4601
#17
131.516.6
69.285.8
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End18.1
red by 4.9
451
#44
126.61.4
122.3123.7
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
Third
5973
#42
109.016.3
71.587.8
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End6.7
blue by 14.3
6460
#53
123.30.3
130.5130.2
Auto18.9
Teleop87.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed