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Qual 42018 Buckeye Regional
Red232
4020159.2
5413146.8
4119126.2
Blue419
5030159.0
1405148.4
1126143.8
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273150100200400500600700800232419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#14
159.22.2
142.7→145.0
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
red by 0.1
5030
#13
159.02.2
134.5→136.6
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
Second
5413
#35
146.80.2
144.8→144.6
Auto17.2
Teleop109.9
End19.4
blue by 1.7
1405
#7
148.40.6
137.0→137.5
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
Third
4119
#37
126.217.0
66.1→83.0
Auto15.7
Teleop96.4
End13.3
blue by 17.7
1126
#9
143.81.0
133.6→132.6
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned