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Qual 52018 Buckeye Regional
Red171
3138126.3
6936124.2
7055118.7
Blue283
4121131.1
1590119.8
4611159.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683370100200400500600700171283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#41
126.31.1
119.0→120.1
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
blue by 32.9
4611
#31
159.20.9
152.1→153.0
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
Second
6936
#50
124.22.0
120.7→122.7
Auto16.4
Teleop85.0
End21.3
blue by 6.9
4121
#16
131.10.1
124.1→124.2
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
Third
7055
#33
118.740.9
118.7→77.7
Auto15.5
Teleop93.5
End9.1
blue by 1.2
1590
#27DQ
119.817.0
65.5→82.5
Auto15.4
Teleop94.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed